Exam PA Predictive Analytics
Predictive Analytics
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- Sponsoring SocietySOA
- Dates ActiveDec 2018 - Present
- Sittings to Date13
- Attempts per Sitting1,768
- Total Passes/Attempts14,354 / 22,982
- Highest Pass Rate70.8% Apr-23
- Lowest Pass Rate50.1% Jun-19
- Effective Pass Rate66.1%
- Std Dev of Pass Rate6.6%
| # | SITTING_ID | EXAM_ID | DATE_PASSED | NUM_WROTE | EFF_NUM_WROTE | NUM_PASSED | PASS_RATE | EFF_PASS_RATE | PASS_MARK | DATE_ADDED | CUMULATIVE_AVERAGE | DISPLAY_DATE |
| 13 | 1900 | 83 | 10/1/2024 12:00:00 AM | 2240 | 2181 | 1467 | 65.5 | 67.3 | | 12/18/2024 12:00:00 AM | 62.5 | Oct-2024 |
| 12 | 1840 | 83 | 4/1/2024 12:00:00 AM | 2188 | 2121 | 1413 | 64.6 | 66.7 | | 6/12/2024 12:00:00 AM | 62.1 | Apr-2024 |
| 11 | 1775 | 83 | 10/1/2023 12:00:00 AM | 2314 | 2223 | 1465 | 63.3 | 65.9 | | 12/8/2023 12:00:00 AM | 61.8 | Oct-2023 |
| 10 | 1720 | 83 | 4/1/2023 12:00:00 AM | 2193 | 2127 | 1552 | 70.8 | 73.0 | | 7/10/2023 12:00:00 AM | 61.6 | Apr-2023 |
| 9 | 1655 | 83 | 10/1/2022 12:00:00 AM | 1554 | 1460 | 1004 | 64.6 | 68.8 | | 1/6/2023 12:00:00 AM | 60.2 | Oct-2022 |
| 8 | 1597 | 83 | 4/1/2022 12:00:00 AM | 1171 | 1121 | 773 | 66.0 | 69.0 | | 9/13/2022 12:00:00 AM | 59.7 | Apr-2022 |
| 7 | 1577 | 83 | 12/1/2021 12:00:00 AM | 1922 | 1861 | 1325 | 68.9 | 71.2 | | 4/9/2022 12:00:00 AM | 59.0 | Dec-2021 |
| 6 | 1517 | 83 | 6/1/2021 12:00:00 AM | 1685 | 1599 | 1052 | 62.4 | 65.8 | | 9/21/2021 12:00:00 AM | 57.0 | Jun-2021 |
| 5 | 1436 | 83 | 12/1/2020 12:00:00 AM | 1954 | 1825 | 1228 | 62.8 | 67.3 | | 3/16/2021 12:00:00 AM | 55.8 | Dec-2020 |
| 4 | 1356 | 83 | 6/1/2020 12:00:00 AM | 1389 | 1284 | 811 | 58.4 | 63.2 | | 10/4/2020 12:00:00 AM | 53.4 | Jun-2020 |
| 3 | 1329 | 83 | 12/1/2019 12:00:00 AM | 2048 | 1849 | 1098 | 53.6 | 59.4 | | 4/5/2020 12:00:00 AM | 51.8 | Dec-2019 |
| 2 | 1264 | 83 | 6/1/2019 12:00:00 AM | 1282 | 1129 | 642 | 50.1 | 56.9 | | 9/25/2019 12:00:00 AM | 50.2 | Jun-2019 |
| 1 | 1203 | 83 | 12/1/2018 12:00:00 AM | 1042 | 937 | 524 | 50.3 | 55.9 | | 3/10/2019 12:00:00 AM | 50.3 | Dec-2018 |
Distribution of Travel Times to Designations
There are no people who passed this exam that also received the ASA or FSA designations.
| METRIC | ASA | FSA |
| Number of People | 7,303 | 1,583 |
| 5th percentile | 0.25 | 1.66 |
| 25th percentile | 0.50 | 2.67 |
| Median | 0.91 | 3.25 |
| Average | 1.09 | 3.33 |
| 75th percentile | 1.50 | 4.00 |
| 95th percentile | 2.75 | 5.00 |
Exam to Exam Analysis
This table shows what other exams people have passed given that they passed exam PA. A breakdown of the time between exams is also shown.
Sitting date:
% of People Who
Passed Other Exams
Average Years
Between Exams
Note on the travel time information above:
The histograms and the above two charts (near) exclude duplicate names and include changed names. Excluding duplicate names is necessary since
travel time information related to them is unreliable and nonsensical- for instance, passing exam P three years before receiving a designation.
Including changed names has an impact on the relative number of people
who passed other exams vs. the given exam. Their inclusion will lower this ratio since changed names will not properly link between
previous/future exam passes. However, including changed names will not affect the average travel times, since travel times of changed names are not necessarily different
than those of unchanged names.
For exam PA on all sittings, there were 1,453 duplicate names, 1,483 changed names, and 321 duplicate and changed names.